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6|June 2020 Slippery rock Gazette
The Stockdale Paradox
Which is More Important?
behaviors are abnormal, you should use this time to ad- dress all the things that you never had time to do when you were so busy.
Training and cross training your people. Get your capacities upgraded to be ready when the market returns.
Equipment mainte- nance. This is the ideal time perform all the preventive maintenance requirements on all your equipment.
Material organization.
Rearrange and relabel all your material to assure the records are correct and items are easy to find.
Remnant review. This is a big one. Go through every item and discard those that are not likely to be used.
Your layout and all the files that you maintain could probably use some revision.
The list of potential proj- ects can be infinite. Just don’t waste this time to do the things that never got the needed attention during busy times.
Another action you should take now is to estab- lish a firm operational plan for the recovery. Posted below is an example of a tool that can help with this planning. The column on the left lists the market seg- ments and products that are produced. The white cells to the right indicate the projected sales volume that you might expect. The June column could be considered
I write this in
Ed Hill
Synchronous Solutions
must face is that we must prepare for the possibility of a vastly different busi- ness climate for months to come. The economy will recover, but none of can know when nor how rap- idly. Different areas of the country will experience dif- ferent rates of recovery and at different times.
The key will be to be pre- pared for whatever rate of recovery your business may experience.
Some areas may real- ize a “V” upturn which means that the recovery will be rapid and dramatic. The challenge will be to have the capacity in place to meet the growing de- mand. Those sales will go to the companies who can meet the immediate needs of their markets. Having suffered through months of “stay at home” orders, homeowners, builders, etc. will likely be eager capi- talize on opportunities to return back to normal life- styles. The pent-up demand could be overwhelming.
Other areas may experi- ence a “U” recovery during which the return of sales will come but at a slower pace. That scenario may be easier to manage, but it still presents some challenges. This condition would be a
good opportunity to offer quick turns for custom- ers who want new kitch- ens now. Premium pricing could be applicable if your market will bear it. In such a recovery scenario, more aggressive marketing and sales practices should be applied.
I believe that we should not expect an “L” recovery which suggests that we may never regain the business levels that existed before the attack by the Corona Virus. We will recover from this crisis; we just don’t know exactly when.
late April 2020,
Training & Education
  “You must maintain unwavering faith that you can and will prevail in the end, regardless of difficulties, and at the same time have the dis- cipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be.”
Admiral James Stockton
 AS
our country and our world are struggling with a se- rious health crisis. Only a few months ago, we all expected that the Spring would bring stronger busi- ness volume and higher demand for our products. I am hopeful that when you read this in early June that the health crisis has sub- sided, and the economy has begun to recover.
The Stockdale Paradox, explained in Jim Collins’s book Good to Great, fo- cuses on the idea that we need to balance realism with optimism. The opti- mism part is the firm belief that we will get through this. The realism part is that none of us know ex- actly when it will be over.
Admiral James Stockdale was one of the high- est-ranking prisoners of war in Vietnam and re- ceived The Medal of Honor for his heroic be- haviors. He helped his fel- low American prisoners to endure the confinement and torture imposed by their captors by encourag- ing them to keep the faith that they would survive if they faced the brutal facts that they could not know when that would happen. A simple explanation of this paradox is the idea of hoping for and preparing for the best but acknowl- edging the possibility for the worst. That is exactly what businesses must do in our current crisis.
This article is all about preparing for the best. It is about being ready when the country goes back to work, as it surely will. This paradox, like all of them, is best understood through experience.
A brutal fact that we
  right show a more optimis- tic result in later months.
The Capacity Required section indicates the hours required per week at the existing levels of capacity at each resource step. The program allows entry of any sales projections and any “What-If” adjustments that may occur.
 Keep a positive attitude but maintain a level of realism and face the brutal facts. That is the message of the Stockdale Paradox.
In any case, the objective of every business should be to get prepared for any of the possibilities. During the crisis, while operational
Organize what you decide to keep and assure that the re- cords are correct with dimen- sions and location.
SlabSmith pictures. If you use SlabSmith or a sim- ilar photograph tool, this is a good time to assure every slab in your inventory is properly documented.
Office reorganization.
the base line for the analy- sis. Perhaps this is the level of sales that you expected prior to the Coronavirus health crisis. The white cells at the top allow a “What-If” analysis of var- ious scenarios. In this ex- ample, it shows the results if sales are only 60% of the base line. Columns to the
The Protective Capacity Planner was designed help companies prepare for the infinite possibilities that your business could face. It can be updated as often as you wish as you gain more market intelligence during our expected recov- ery from this crisis.
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